How climate change affects Ukraine: results of the impact assessment
The report provides foundational data for climate risk assessment. It identifies pathways for effective adaptation measures to enhance resilience, protect assets, and save lives. The report marks the first step in assessing Ukraine’s vulnerability, guiding future analyses and investment planning.
Climate change in Ukraine is accelerating and requires assessments of future risks to ecosystems, human activities, and the economy. Planning the restoration and development of Ukraine requires appropriate assessments of future climate change, as well as the associated risks and vulnerability of ecosystems, human activities and sectors of the country’s economy.
A recent report by Dr. Svitlana Krakovska and Lidiia Kryshtop, commissioned by the Ukrainian Climate Office, provides foundational data for climate risk assessment. It identifies pathways for effective adaptation measures to enhance resilience, protect assets, and save lives. The report marks the first step in assessing Ukraine’s vulnerability, guiding future analyses and investment planning.
It is essential for all sectors and aspects of life, as it highlights the pathways to develop effective measures for adapting to climate change. Implementing adaptation measures will enhance resilience across sectors, safeguarding assets, saving money, and most importantly, protecting lives.
The earlier these measures are identified and implemented, the smaller the losses will be. Scenarios with higher emissions concentrations indicate greater hazards and more severe losses. For example:
- Extreme precipitation events, such as heavy rain and snow, are projected to increase in all regions of Ukraine, with the highest impacts expected in the West and North.
- Droughts are anticipated to intensify in the Coastal and South.
- Extreme heat is projected to affect all regions, particularly the East and South.
- High winds and gusts exceeding 6 Beaufort (10.8 m/s) are expected to have significant impacts close to the Carpathians and coastal areas.
The full version is available following the link.
The study was prepared by Dr. Svitlana Krakovska, climate adaptation expert, and Lidiia Kryshtop, GIS Specialist, within Capacities for Climate Action Project implemented by Deutsche
Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK) under the International Climate Initiative (IKI) and co-financed by European Union.